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TRADE

gold.jpg (5227 bytes) Glitter
Greed
Growth

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The prices of Third World minerals are steadily going down


"The mineral dependent developing countries actually had slower rates of economic growth, lower levels of social welfare and higher disparity between rich and poor when compared to developing countries less reliant on mining."

— G.Nankuri, World Bank researcher

p68_1.jpg (1027 bytes)ome where in the 19th Century: Thousands of gold prospectors raided Red Indian lands in a series of gold rushes in North America. The whites did a lot of damage. They tore down fences. Pastures were dug up. But the natives could do little. Red Indian land which had gold, silver or oil was snatched away by force.

Somewhere in the 20th Century: After thriving by extracting mineral resources from colonies for centuries, the colonial powers were forced to give independence to them. But while going, they ensured that the economics of exploitation would continue through their so-called "free trade".

Somewhere in the 21st Century: The Developed world's major mineral deposits have been mined out, but they are still getting what they want from the developing world. Each major industrial region has picked a zone. The US looks to Latin America, Western Europe to Africa, Japan to the rest of Asia.

"We mine, they consume"
Although man has been mining for thousands of years, it was the Industrial revolution which really set the pace for the exploitation of the Earth’s resources. From 1850 to 1900, the use of minerals grew 10-fold even as the population doubled. Since 1900, it increased 13-fold again. The West made tremendous economic gains and mineral exploitation continued well into the twentieth century. England, which was a small island nation, used the mineral resources of its colonies to power both its economy and military.

Tiny change, huge impact
Developing economies are heavily dependent on mineral exports and hence at the mercy of the international market. This is how it works:

A minor recession in the US in 1970 led to a 0.3 per cent drop in GNP.

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This led to a 3.3 per cent decline in sales of consumer durables.

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This led to a 12 per cent decline in demand for copper.

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Which led to a 34 per cent decline in the copper industry's profitability.

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And 90 per cent of Zambia's exports come from copper!

Even today, things are not very different. The Third World continues to be the major producer of minerals, while the Developed countries are still the largest consumers. Moreover, the Developed world has woken to the impacts of environmental degradation and it’s very difficult to get mining permits there. The governments of the developing countries, on the other hands, are making laws more and more lax in a bid to attract foreign investment.

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From 1850 to 1900, the use of minerals increased 10-fold even as the population doubled.

Caught in a vicious circle
Developing countries are in effect caught in a trap. They are locked into an economic structure which depends upon exporting minerals and isn’t leading to economic development. There are many reasons for this. For one, MNCs take profits out of the country. They also take the production process outside, generating employment elsewhere. Also, mineral prices are steadily coming down. Finally, mining is capital intensive, not employing as much labour as other industries, and seldom has links with the local economy.

A writer sums up the whole situation taking Bolivia’s example: "The world knows Bolivia, if it knows it all, as a mining country. It’s a member of a small group of African and Latin American countries for whom mining is the cornerstone of their economies; no other country of this group has been so dependent on mining as Bolivia. But great mining wealth has only brought poverty to the average Bolivian; no other country in South America is the standard of living so low."

MNCs have an argument to counter all of this. Mineral exploration is very expensive and very risky and something which only they are willing to do. Also, such projects generate revenue for the government, develop infrastructure and provide foreign exchange. But critics say this hasn't led to a wider and sustainable process of economic development, locking countries into a cycle of dependence on the mining industry.

Future shock
Once a mine has been mined out, it has to be shut down. So the future of developing countries doesn’t look too bright. When they become developed, they will have less economic mines to mine. There are also the environmental impacts, for which they don’t have the technology to handle. That responsibility clearly lies with the Developed world.

Prices of the West’s products from minerals are steadily going up

 

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